Poll: Obama ties Clinton in Indiana; Leads N. Carolina by 14
 Indiana is neck and neck in the final Zogby poll before the primaries. North Carolina appears solidly in Barack Obama's camp.
"The pair of surveys of the Democratic presidential contests shows Obama with a significant 14-point lead in North Carolina, winning 51% support to Hillary Clinton’s 37%," Zogby writes. "Another 12% said they were either favoring someone else or were as yet undecided. In Indiana, the race is clear as mud, as Obama holds a statistically insignificant lead of two points, winning 45% support to Clinton’s 43% support, with 12% either undecided or favoring someone else."
A similar poll released yesterday by Boston-based Suffolk University put Clinton seven points over Obama in Indiana.
"The overall Obama advantage in Indiana—though statistically insignificant—comes after another strong day of polling Monday. The one-day total, which comprises about half of the two-day tracking poll sample, saw Obama winning 47% support to Clinton’s 41%. Monday’s polling results are combined with Sunday’s numbers to produce the two-day tracking poll.
"Among voters age 55-64, Obama has made a move forward and now wins 44% support, compared to 43% support for Clinton. Yesterday, Clinton held a two-point edge among those voters. This represents a key advance for Obama, who has had trouble winning support among older voters in earlier states."
| Democrats - Indiana | 5-4/5 | 5-3/4 | 5-2/3 | 5-1/2 | 4-30/5-1 | | Clinton | 43% | 42% | 41% | 42% | 42% | | Obama | 45% | 44% | 43% | 43% | 42% | | Someone else | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | | Not sure | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% |
"Obama dominated among men, leading 56% to 34%, and among women, where he won 47% support to Clinton’s 40%—largely on the strength of Obama’s support among African American women. Obama also led among younger voters in the state, while Clinton enjoyed leads among older voters. Among a key age demographic group—those age 35 to 54—Obama leads by 58% to 29% margin."
| Democrats—North Carolina | 5-4/5 | 5-3/4 | 5-2/3 | 5-1/2 | 4-30/5-1 | | Clinton | 37% | 40% | 39% | 37% | 34% | | Obama | 51% | 48% | 48% | 46% | 50% | | Someone else | 4% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | | Not sure | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
"The telephone surveys, conducted May 4-5, 2008, are the final of Zogby’s two-day daily tracking surveys," he adds. "In North Carolina, 643 likely Democratic primary election voters were polled. In Indiana, 644 likely voting Democratic primary voters were surveyed. Both surveys carry a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points."
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